We use a variety of strategies to hedge a portion of our exposure to market risks, primarily interest rate risk and associated risks, including prepayment risk and extension risk. Our risk management strategy takes into consideration our risk / return profile for the current environment and incorporates our investment strategy, the cost of hedging transactions, and our intention to continue to qualify as a REIT. Our hedging strategies are generally not designed to protect our net asset value from spread risk.
The principal instruments that we use to hedge a portion of our exposure to interest rate, prepayment, and extension risks are interest rate swaps and interest rate swaptions. We also utilize TBA contracts, U.S. Treasury securities, and U.S. Treasury futures contracts, primarily through short sales.
As of December 31, 2022, our interest rate hedge portfolio totaled $67.6 billion and covered 124% of our repo funding, other debt and net TBA position.
DURATION GAP SENSITIVITY
As of December 31, 2022 |
|
Rates
-100 bps |
Duration
12/31/2022 |
Rates
+100 bps |
Mortgage Assets:  |
|
|
|
30 Year MBS |
4.3 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
15 Year MBS and Other Securities |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
Total Mortgage Assets |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
Liabilities and Hedges |
(4.7) |
(4.7) |
(4.6) |
Net Duration Gap |
(0.5) |
0.4 |
1.0 |
Changes in interest rates and changes in MBS spreads can impact the market value of our equity. The charts below outline the impact of interest rate and mortgage basis movements on our NAV.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
As of December 31, 2022 (based on instantaneous parallel shifts in interest rates) |
Interest Rate Shock (bps) |
Estimated Change in Portfolio Market Value  |
Estimated Change in Tangible
Common Equity |
-75 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
-50 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
-25 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
+25 |
(0.1)% |
(1.4)% |
+50 |
(0.3)% |
(3.3)% |
+75 |
(0.5)% |
(5.4)% |
mbs spread sensitivity ("basis risk")
As of December 31, 2022 |
MBS Spread Shock (bps) |
Estimated Change in Portfolio Market Value |
Estimated Change in Tangible Common Equity |
-50 |
2.9% |
30.6% |
-25 |
1.5% |
15.3% |
-10 |
0.6% |
6.1% |
+10 |
(0.6%) |
(6.1)% |
+25 |
(1.5)% |
(15.3)% |
+50 |
(2.9)% |
(30.6)% |