Perspectives

  • The Fed Report: March 2026

    • Target Range Maintained: For the second consecutive meeting, the FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. The FOMC decision was not unanimous, as Fed Governor Stephen Miran voted to lower the target range by 25 basis points.
    • Geopolitical Risk Integration: The Fed’s statement was largely consistent with its statement from the January meeting, but the FOMC did note that “[t]he implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain.”
    • Economic Projections Update: While the Fed’s median expectations of one 25 basis point rate cut in each of 2026 and 2027 was consistent with the December projections, the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) reflected expectations for “somewhat stronger” GDP growth and more persistent PCE inflation than the previous SEP.
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